Rules of Probability
Probability is governed by a few foundational rules.
First, probabilities are always between \( 0 \) and \( 1 \) (non-negativity).
Second, the probability of the entire sample space is \( 1 \) (normalization).
Third, if two events cannot happen at the same time (i.e., are mutually exclusive), the probability of either occurring is the sum of their individual probabilities (additivity).
Other useful rules include:
- The addition rule for non-mutually exclusive events: \[ P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) \]
- The complement rule: \[ P(\text{not } A) = 1 - P(A) \]
- The multiplication rule for independent events: \[ P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B) \]
Knowing these rules by heart is essential for solving complex probability problems, especially in the context of trading interviews.