Rules of Probability

Probability is governed by a few foundational rules.

First, probabilities are always between \( 0 \) and \( 1 \) (non-negativity).

Second, the probability of the entire sample space is \( 1 \) (normalization).

Third, if two events cannot happen at the same time (i.e., are mutually exclusive), the probability of either occurring is the sum of their individual probabilities (additivity).

Other useful rules include:

- The addition rule for non-mutually exclusive events: \[ P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) \]

- The complement rule: \[ P(\text{not } A) = 1 - P(A) \]

- The multiplication rule for independent events: \[ P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B) \]

Knowing these rules by heart is essential for solving complex probability problems, especially in the context of trading interviews.

Test your knowledge

Which of the following correctly applies one of the foundational rules of probability?