Law of One Price and Replication

Two things with identical payoffs in every state must have the same price.

That is the whole of derivatives pricing theory. Everything else is working out what replicates what.

Why it holds

If two identical payoffs had different prices, you would buy the cheap one, sell the expensive one, and hold a position with zero payoff in every future state and positive cash today. Free money, taken in unlimited size until the prices converged.

The force is not that markets are wise; it is that the alternative is exploitable.

Pricing by replication

The consequence is a method. To price a derivative, build a portfolio of tradeable assets that reproduces its payoff in every state, and the derivative must cost what the portfolio costs.

The binomial example shows it concretely: a call is replicated by Δ\Delta shares plus borrowing, and its price is the cost of that package.

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