Rare Gene, Noisy Test, and the Base-Rate Trap - Brainteaser
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Rare Gene, Noisy Test, and the Base-Rate Trap
Probability
Medium
Reported at: 1 firmSIG
x xxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxx x xxxxxxxx xxxx xxxx xxxxx xxxxxxxxxxx \(x(x)=x.xx\). x xxxxxxxxxx xxxx xxx xxxxxxxxxxx \(x(x{+}\xxx x)=x.xx\) xxx xxxxx-xxxxxxxx xxxx \(x(x{+}\xxx x^x)=x.xx\).
xxx xxxx xxx xxxx.
x) xxxx xx \(x(x\xxx x{+})\)?
x) xxxx xx \(x(x\xxx x{-})\)?
xxx xxxxxxx xxx xxxx xxx xxxxxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxx xxxxx (xxxxxxxxxxx xxxxx \(x\) xxx xxxxx \(x^x\)) xxxxx xxx xxxx xxxxx.
x) xxxx xx \(x(x\xxx x_x{+},x_x{+})\)?
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