Brainteaser iconBrainteaser - Cupcake Bayesian Payout

Cupcake Bayesian Payout
Probability
Jane Street
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xxx xxxxxxxx xxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx xxx xxxx xx xxxxxx xxxxx (x) xx xxxxxxx (x). xxx xxx xxxx xxxx xxx xxxx xxxxxxxxxxx xx xxxxxxx xxxxxx xx xx xxxxxx (x x, x x) xx (x x, x x).xxx xxx xxx xx xxxx xxxxxxxx xx xxx xxxx, xxx xx xxx, xxxxxxxxx xxxx xxx xxxxxxx xxx xxx. xxxxx xxx xxxx, xxx xxxx xxxxx x xxxxxx (x xx x). xxx xxxx xxxxxxx $x xxx xxxx xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxx xx xxx xxxxxx xxx xxxxxxx (x.x., xx xxx xxxxx x xxx xxxxx xxx x xxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxx, xxx xxx $x).xxxx xx xxx xxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxx xxxxxxx xxxx, xxx xxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xx?

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