Probability

Baked Goods Probability Puzzle

Difficulty
xx x xxxxx xxxxxx, xxxx xxxxxxxx xxxx xxx xxxx. xxxxx xx x xx% xxxxxx xxxx xxxxxx x xxxxxxxxx xxx x xx% xxxxxx xxxx xxx xxx x xxxxxx. xxxx xxxx x xxxxxxx xxxx xxx x xxxxxxxxx xx xxxx, xxxx xx xxx xxxxxxxxxxx xxxx xxxxx x xxxxxxx xxxxxxx, xxxxxxx xx xxxxxxxx xxxx xxxx x xxxxxx xxx xxxx xxxxx xxx xxxx xxxx?

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